How We Warned of an Economic Shock in Q4 2019


In our Q4 and Q1 economic reports Hillview Research asked, “whether we are watching a financial crisis in slow motion”.

We added that, “We believe markets are becoming complacent about risks and the potential for big moves in FX and commodity markets.”

This advice was based on the activities of the world’s central banks who were collectively slashing interest rates to near zero levels. If we fast forward a few months, oil prices have collapsed and we are now talking of another recession, or even a depression, due to the actions taken over the Coronavirus.

We were advising clients in Q4 which countries were highlighting risks and we also advised against aggressive expansion at that time. There are very few consulting operations who study economics apply this to their business recommendations. This is what we do and we are now looking to help other businesses navigate the coming environment.

Please contact us to discuss your needs in the months ahead.